TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

200 PM EDT FRI JUN 22 2012

 

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC…CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO…

 

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CHRIS…LOCATED ABOUT 335 MILES EAST-

SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

 

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE

CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE BROAD SURFACE LOW LOCATED JUST

NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED

OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. WHILE THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY

HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION…ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS

APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM. THIS SYSTEM HAS

A HIGH CHANCE…70 PERCENT…OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING

THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT BEGINS TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD. INTERESTS

ALONG THE UNITED STATES GULF COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF

THIS DISTURBANCE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HEAVY RAINS AND LOCALIZED

FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA…WESTERN

CUBA…AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SATURDAY.

 

ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE

NEXT 48 HOURS.